A 2019 research which eerily predicted a nuclear war between India and Pakistan in 2025 has come into renewed focus amid mounting tensions between the two countries. The dire prophecy, released by Routledge, describes a nightmarish series of events led by a big terror attack, echoing the recent fatal accident in Jammu and Kashmir’s Pahalgam that killed 26 people.
A Predicted Path to Nuclear Catastrophe
The research hypothesised that a major terrorist attack, originally envisioned as an attack on the Indian Parliament, would elicit a mass Indian military mobilisation along the Line of Control (LoC). Pakistan would retaliate by replicating this deployment, creating a risky build-up of troops. True to form, the research anticipated that subsequent skirmishes and deaths on both sides would quickly escalate the conflict, pushing the two nuclear-armed neighbours to the brink.
The Nightmare Scenario Unfolds
The first nuclear use, under the dire prophecy, would take place when Indian troops started crossing into Pakistani lines. Pakistani commanders, in the face of conventional defeat, would turn to tactical nuclear weapons on their own soil to stem the Indian tide. The research described a chilling exchange: Pakistan firing 10 tactical nukes on Day 1 and 15 additional ones on Day 2. India’s response, as expected, would be 20 strategic nuclear airbursts on Pakistani military bases and nuclear storage facilities, causing gigantic fires and smoke plumes akin to Hiroshima.
The 2019 Study Portrayed a Picture of Unstoppable Escalation.
India’s strategic attacks would not frighten Pakistan but rather unleash a lethal third day of retaliation. Pakistan would retaliate with 30 airbursts on Indian garrisons, naval ports, and city airfields, as well as 15 additional tactical attacks. India would, in return, attack 10 Pakistani military targets in cities with nuclear weapons.
Read More: Pak-India War: Like Cowards Do, India Launched Mid-Night Attack on Pakistan, Killing Civilians
The study chillingly outlined a disastrous chain reaction driven by anger, panic, miscommunication, and strict military procedures. During the next three days, Pakistan would launch its whole strategic force of 120 nuclear weapons against Indian cities, which would induce India to retaliate with 70 nuclear airbursts, reserving some to warn China. The estimated global fallout is appalling, with 50 to 125 million deaths immediately and major cities made uninhabitable.
Global Repercussions
Aside from the direct destruction, the climatic consequences of the nuclear firestorms would unleash global famines, possibly impacting billions globally. The report ended with a grim warning: “The ramifications would be enormous and global in scope.”
While these were predictions made by a study, the recent Pak-India war tensions have most of us thinking whether we are heading toward an actual nuclear war.
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